Covid cases do NOT double every other day

Covid cases do NOT double every other day: Modeling justifying Javid’s claim that there were 200,000 Omicron infections per day is quietly dropped by health officials

  • The modeling used to justify Sajid Javid’s claim that there were 200,000 Omicron infections per day has been dropped by health officials
  • The UK Health Safety Agency assumed infections doubled every 1.9 days
  • But he now says that has become “less valid” due to a “change in behavior”
  • He will no longer use this method to estimate the infection, he said in a document quietly published online Thursday.










The modeling used to justify Sajid Javid’s claim that there were 200,000 Omicron infections per day has been dropped by health officials.

The UK Health Security Agency had assumed infections doubled every 1.9 days, but now says that has become “less valid” due to “behavior change”.

As a result, he will no longer use this method to estimate the infection, he said in a document quietly released online Thursday.

A spokesperson said the figure gave a “useful snapshot” to “underscore the scale” to which Omicron was spreading.

The modeling used to justify Sajid Javid’s claim that there were 200,000 Omicron infections per day has been dropped by health officials

But the increase in mask-wearing and working from home has reduced the rate of spread and changed the forecast, the spokesperson added.

It came as figures revealed fewer people have died or been hospitalized with Omicron in South Africa than in previous waves of Covid.

Vaccines and past infections have dramatically reduced deaths by two-thirds compared to previous waves.

And more than nine in ten Covid patients who have died in hospital since mid-November were not fully vaccinated, South African scientists added.

Daily Covid cases in Britain hit record highs for third day in a row with 93,000 people diagnosed in 24 hours

Covid hospital admissions have increased by more than a third in one week in the British Omicron hotspot in London, according to official data.  Some 199 infected patients were admitted to wards in London on Tuesday, the most recent day UKHSA figures are available for

Covid hospital admissions increased by more than a third in one week in the UK’s Omicron hotspot in London, official data shows

Joe Phaahla, the country’s health minister, said the new variant was causing “mild illness”.

In the second week of the third wave, powered by the Delta variant, there were 4,500 cases and 900 hospitalizations each day. But while daily cases climbed to around 20,000 at the same time of the current wave, hospital admissions were less than just 350, he said.

In the UK, the NHS continues to decline to give details of the only UK person who has died with the Omicron variant. There is no information on the person’s age, and whether they had been vaccinated or had any underlying health problems.

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